Posted by
Grampus on Thursday, November 02, 2006 12:17:06 PM
- This is the first of three articles that Blogocritics published
concerning the Mid-East in concert with Desicrits, a web site with its
main focus on Southeast Asia. Due to the length of the articles, the
2nd and 3rd articles will be published over the next two days. This is
certainly something you will never hear from the American media. The
3rd article contains some very surprising and controversial projections
and predictions for the American elections up until the swearing in of
the 110th Congress.
Article from Blogocritics
Written by Ruvy in Jerusalem
Published September 06, 2006
On
4 September, Debkafiles reported a huge buildup of military forces off
the Mediterranean that appears to be continuing as I write this two
days later.
DEBKAfile’s’ editors call the article, “’Lebanese
Security’ Is the Pretext for the Naval Babel around Lebanon's Shores.”
Someone who lives here should pay close attention to military buildups
nearby, particularly of foreign forces. So I do.
According to
the article, the buildup of naval forces off Lebanon is far greater
than what ought to be required for the beefed up “UNIFIL” of UN
Security Council Resolution 1701. The article lists the following
forces gathering off of Lebanon: “two carriers with 75 fighter-bombers,
spy planes and helicopters on their decks; 15 warships of various types
- 7 French, 5 Italian, 2-3 Greek, 3-5 German, and five American;
thousands of Marines - French, Italian and German, as well as 1,800 US
Marines.” Supposedly, this is for the implementation of the resolution
cited above. But is it?
DEBKAfiles speculates that an assault on
Iran and Syria is being prepared for with the United States and Israel
working together with the international force off Lebanon’s shores. One
should remember that DEBKAfiles was founded by former Israeli
intelligence types and often serves as a sort of backdoor for what the
Mossad (Israel’s spy organization) wants to leak to the media.
DEBKAfiles is not always on the money with its prognostications, though
its analyses of past events tend to be excellent. This is a
prognostication, what the editors at DEBKAfiles believe will happen. If
it is, then it would seem that it finally is occurring that the United
States is openly recognizing Israel as a strategic ally, and planning a
joint attack with her. I am not so sure. In my opinion, this is what
the editors at DEBKAfiles want to believe will happen.
The
article goes into what it believes may be the weakness of the
operation, a split command. According to the article, “…the NATO fleet
will remain under NATO command, and Israel's air and naval units will
take their orders from Israeli Navy Headquarters in Haifa and the
General Staff in Tel Aviv.”
Wow! Israel gets to command its own
fleet in a joint international military attack on Syria and Iran? If I
were a former Mossadnik, I’d certainly want this!
But let's back
up and consider U.S.-Israeli history. George Marshall, Secretary of
State in November 1947, told Harry Truman point blank that the creation
of a Jewish state in the Middle East was a strategic mistake. He was so
adamant on this that when Truman overruled his judgment, he quit his
job. The United States' State Department always maintained this view,
and its program has been to weaken Israel over the years in order to
ameliorate the error, using various stratagems to accomplish the task.
In 1948-9, the stratagem was to be a “neutral non-combatant” refusing
to sell arms to “either side” in the conflict, effectively boycotting
Israel as other nations were selling arms to the Arabs. In 1967 and
1973 the stratagems were the threat “you’ll be on your own.” In 1967,
this didn’t work. Israel went alone and attacked – and won
spectacularly.
In 1973, the Israeli government quailed before
American threats and waited for the attack on Yom Kippur. The Israeli
government relied on the promises of a Jewish Secretary of State, Henry
Kissinger, assuming that he would come through on the arms package
agreed to resupply the country as it lost jets, missiles, and tanks. It
turned out that Kissinger, even though he was Jewish, was following the
State Department handbook of weaken and destroy Israel. It was James
Schlesinger who told the president why the Israelis were losing in
1973, and Nixon confronted Kissinger and demanded that the arms
resupply package be delivered.
Independently, Alexander Haig, on
his own authority, ordered TOW anti-tank missiles for the Israelis and
had Israelis flown in to learn how to use them. It was these TOW
missiles that stopped the Arab tanks in their track in the Sinai and in
the Heights of Golan and which prevented this country being overrun by
Syria in the north and Egypt in the south. John Loftus was a duty
officer who helped train the Israeli officers and saw this himself. The
price for Israel was almost 3,000 dead, a diplomatic defeat following a
hard won military victory – and the effective loss of its sovereignty.
This
was followed by a peace treaty with Egypt that cost Israel the Sinai
Peninsula and gave Arabs everywhere hope that they could defeat and
eliminate Israel. This was followed by the “Madrid Conference” in 1991,
which was the last time a sovereign prime minister of this country
acted like one. Prime Minister Shamir accused the Syrian across the
table of being a terrorist, and the Syrian accused him of being one in
return (Shamir was involved in the assassination of Swedish diplomat
Count Bernadotte in Egypt in 1949). That broke up the meeting.
After
the Likud was defeated in 1992 and Shamir retired came the “Oslo
Accords” – a plan directed at all times by the White House, even though
it feigned total surprise at its development – sealed with the infamous
handshake between Prime Minister Rabin and Yassir Arafat. Part of the
Oslo Accords has been a plan to delegitimize the settlement of Judea
and Samaria in the eyes of other Israelis and a quieter plan to kill
off the leadership of the towns and villages here. Along with the Oslo
Accords came the notion that Israeli weaponry should be essentially the
same as American weaponry and local development of most weapons was
abandoned. Thus American “aid” became a tool to force Israel to be
totally dependent on the United States for arms. Finally, on top of all
this, came the Gush Qatif expulsion of Jewish citizens last year,
establishing the precedent that the Israeli Army was to be nothing more
than a band of Hebrew speaking Cossacks in the employ of the government.
All
this was promoted by George Bush the elder, Bill Clinton, and George
Bush the younger and their respective Secretaries of State – all of
them. Against nearly sixty years of anti-Israel policy, such a
turn-around, making Israel an open ally in front of the entire world,
including even the Europeans, is hard for me to believe.
Now let
us return to today -- the person called prime minister here these days,
Ehud Olmert, led a war at the behest of the United States to weaken or
to destroy HizbAllah. He was elected on a program of further weakening
this country by robbing it of any strategic depth by pulling out of
Judea and Samaria altogether. But what little credibility he might have
had as the head of a political party of thieves hiding behind what was
originally Ariel Sharon’s fat arse to avoid indictment has been blown
entirely. With Sharon rotting away in a bed, incompetent fools did all
the wrong things in trying to root out an enemy. And now Olmert has had
to put his program of ousting Jews from their homes on hold.
If
you were an American leader, would you trust this idiot? Would you
trust the amateurs who led the IDF to defeat? I wouldn’t, and
apparently the Americans don’t. David Wilder recently wrote an article
“The Bullet’s in the Chamber” dealing with his views on how Mr. Olmert
will soon have to move his belongings out of the premier’s residence.
Quoting DEBKAfile’s Hebrew site, he points to an article there where
the American government evaluates the Israeli government as, well,
lacking in ability. The last sentence of the article allegedly quotes
George Bush as having said, “Those Israelis, they're not what we
thought.”
So, Israel is definitely not going in on a joint
attack of Syria or Iran. Not under Olmert and his crew of jokers – if
something happened to Olmert and Peres became prime minister, maybe.
Even then, I doubt it.
The original DEBKAfile article quoted
here goes on at length about the French naval carrier Charles DeGaulle,
and how it is equipped to hold an entire army for months on end. Would
the French invade Iran? That seems hardly likely. But the ship is not
off Lebanon’s waters for a vacation cruise. A Frenchman doesn’t need to
go to Lebanon for a Mediterranean vacation. Besides, August, the
traditional month for French vacations, is over.
So, what is going on?
In
an article published at this on-line magazine last year, I made five
predictions. It’s now nine months into the year 2006, and ten months
since I made my predictions. Let’s take a look at them again. Well,
let’s look at the first four anyway.
In making the first three
of them, I was following the ideas of the two leading m'kubalim in the
country, a point I referred to in the article.
1. If the elections are held, Sharon will wind up as prime minister. Here, I'm only following the words of the two m'kubalim.
2.
Whether elections are held or not, Sharon will remain prime minister.
Again, I'm only following the words of the two m'kubalim. I don't take
elections for granted. Too many things can happen to upset the
"natural" order of events.
3. Sharon will leave office, for some reason or another, during 2006.
4.
During the next year, we will see the rising visibility of American and
European soldiers in this country. This only follows the trend of
events here. There are five American bases, and an increasing number of
EU soldiers here.
I missed the first prediction. Sharon’s stroke
made it impossible that he would wind up as prime minister. But the
second one was closer. Until Olmert was actually sworn in and took the
oath of office, he was temporary acting prime minister, and Sharon
remained prime minister. Sharon left office in 2006.
Now we come
to the interesting prediction of the four, as this had no m’kubal to
back up my words. This was mine, and mine alone.
And this is
what I think we are seeing in this force off the shores of Lebanon.
Olmert can’t effectively carry out the program he was elected on. At
some point soon, he will get the brilliant idea (as someone feeds him
the lines) that an international force in Judea and Samaria is just
what the doctor ordered…
Grampus